A Reverse Mortgage on America

Defying widespread recession predictions, the S&P 500 stock market index soared an impressive 26% in 2023. As Warren Buffet says, “never bet against America.” That large headline number obscures the narrowness of a market lead by “the Magnificent Seven” (Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta/Facebook, and Alphabet/Google).

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How to Lose Half Your Money in Government Bonds

Yes, you can lose half your money in government guaranteed bonds. The iShares index ETF “TLT” of 20-year treasury bonds shown below has lost half its value in the last 3 years. Some bonds, 30-year Treasuries for example, have been impacted even worse. Long time clients are well familiar with Equitas’s position on bonds having written KnowRisk reports “Return-Free Risk” in 2012 and “The Warning Label” 2014. Did we know that treasury bonds would lose half their value? No, we just thought that a 1% yield was not worth the risk of investing. Now, we are recognizing the opportunity presented by the highest bond yields in decades.

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